Source:ย Associated Builders and Contractorsย
Construction industry employment declined by 29,000 in March,ย according toย anย Associated Builders and Contractorsย analysis of data released by theย U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonresidential construction employment declined by 24,600 in March.ย
All three nonresidential segments registered job losses, with the largest decrease experienced in nonresidential building (-10,700) followed closely by heavy and civil engineering (-10,200). Nonresidential specialty trade lost 3,700 jobs on net.ย
The construction unemployment rate was 6.9 percent in March, up 1.7 percentage points from the same time one year ago. Unemployment across all industries rose from 3.5 percent in February to 4.4 percent last month, a direct result of the global pandemic.ย
โSo ends the lengthiest expansion in American economic history,โ said ABC Chief Economistย Anirbanย Basu. โThe expansion was associated with dramatic asset price increases, multi-decade lows in unemployment, persistently low costs of capital and a thriving U.S. nonresidential construction sector. While the March jobs report is horrific, ending a 113-month streak of employment gains,ย it is clear that employmentย reports in future months are likely to be even worse.ย
โWhat remains unclear is the extent to which estimated construction employment declines are due to mandated suspension of projects in Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, California and elsewhere, and how much of this is due to the emergence of recessionary forces,โ saidย Basu. โGenerally, nonresidential construction is one of the last segments of the economy to enter recession as contractors continue to work down their collective backlog, which stood atโฏ8.9 monthsโฏin ABCโsย Construction Backlog Indicator. The need for social distancing renders that statistic less pertinent, meaning that nonresidential construction is susceptible to large-scale job losses immediately.โย
โWhile the recently passedย stimulusย package is massive and helps support the payments side of the economy, economic recovery will remain elusive until theย COVID-19-engendered crisis is behind us,โ saidย Basu. โWhile that is obvious, many people are still looking to compare the current crisis to other episodes in American history, including theย Great Recession. As a practical matter, this period defies comparison, and must be understood on its own. Based on what is known, the downturn will be vicious. The good news is that this crisis may finally induce policymakers to fashion and implement a long-awaited infrastructure stimulus package.โย
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